The U.S. labor market faces a significant challenge over the next 15 years due to a shrinking workforce driven by aging, retirements, and reduced immigration, alongside the uneven impact of AI, which mainly affects high-wage, white-collar jobs rather than sectors with acute worker shortages like healthcare and construction. This will create a structural mismatch between worker skills and job vacancies, increasing unemployment and requiring focused efforts on labor reallocation through upskilling, credential reform, and improved job matching to align workers with available opportunities.
The Great Mismatch: How a Shrinking Workforce, AI, and Labor Reallocation Will Define the Next 15 Years – Indeed Hiring Lab
