Generative AI’s current productivity gains rely heavily on experts whose judgment was developed before these tools existed, leveraging their deep domain knowledge to guide AI effectively. However, as firms reduce entry-level hiring due to AI’s automation of routine tasks, the developmental pipeline that cultivates future expert judgment is weakening, risking a long-term decline in innovation and expertise. This dynamic suggests that the current AI-driven productivity boom may not sustain as the generation that built it retires and is insufficiently replaced.
Borrowed Expertise: Why AI’s Productivity Boom May Not Survive the Generation That Built It
