In the face of AI advancements, many white-collar workers worry about job obsolescence, but the article suggests a useful analogy: are workers “coal” (replaceable by technology) or “horses” (adaptable and enduring)? Drawing on the historical example of horses replaced by tractors in agriculture and the Jevons paradox—which shows that efficiency can increase overall demand—the author argues that while some jobs may disappear, many roles will evolve or be complemented by AI, highlighting the complex, uneven impact of technology on employment.
How to Guess If Your Job Will Exist in Five Years

